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[3G/WCDMA/CDMA2000/TD-SCDMA] 3G手机市场：2007年平稳度过导入期 [复制链接]

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注册：2007-12-10
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发表于 2007-12-10 15:59:00 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><span lang="EN-US"><p><font size="2"><span lang="EN-US"><p><font face="Times New Roman" size="3">&nbsp;</font></p></span><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">由于</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">牌照问题的复杂性——发放时间、牌照数量、技术标准还不明确，</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">产业发展还存在着诸多不确定因素。中国政府对于</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">的决策一直以来非常谨慎，</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">牌照迟迟未发，很关键的一个原因是为了扶持中国自主知识产权的</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">标准</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">TD-SCDMA</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">，等待其技术的成熟。</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">TD-SCDMA</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">最终成为国际三大标准之一，这为中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机市场的发展奠定了坚实的基础。</span></font></p><p class="3" style="MARGIN: 10pt 0cm 6pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 汉鼎简中黑; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial;">市场发展分为四个阶段</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></font></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">虽然由于中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">起步较晚，在</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机上我们没能在核心技术上有所建树，但也正因此，我们可以拥有更多其它国家和地区的</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机发展和普及经验来借鉴。根据欧美、日韩</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机市场的发展经验，以及中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="2" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">2G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机、智能手机的发展历程，我们可以把中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机的发展划分为四个阶段。</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">(</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">如表</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">所示</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">)</font></span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span lang="EN-US">表一见<a href="http://www.sinotes.com/chinese/Sc%20news/2007_12_3_mobile_market.htm">http://www.sinotes.com/chinese/Sc%20news/2007_12_3_mobile_market.htm</a></span></font></p><font size="3"><span lang="EN-US"><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">目前，全球</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机市场的发展已进入快速成长期，中国还处于从市场导入期向成长期过渡的阶段。虽然略晚于全球进程，但是一旦中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">网络的格局浮出水面，包括许可证发放的时间和数量、采用的技术，特别是</span><span lang="EN-US">TD</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">的市场地位、运营商的选择等进一步明晰后，中国将成为未来亚太地区，乃至世界最大的</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机市场之一。</span></font></p><p class="3" style="MARGIN: 10pt 0cm 6pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt;"><font size="3"><font face="Arial"><strong><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 汉鼎简中黑; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial;">市场销量明显增长</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></strong></font></font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">驰昂咨询（</span><span lang="EN-US">Sinotes</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">）的数据显示，</span><span lang="EN-US">2007</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机销量将达到</span><span lang="EN-US">600</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">万部左右，比</span><span lang="EN-US">2006</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年增长</span><span lang="EN-US">194%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">，在平稳结束两年的导入期后，预计未来</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年，</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机销量将进一步增长。尤其是</span><span lang="EN-US">2008</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年进入成长期后，加之奥林匹克运动会在北京的召开加快了</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">进程，各方面的支持将进一步有利于</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机的普及，预计</span><span lang="EN-US">2008</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年增长率能够突破</span><span lang="EN-US">200%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">，到</span><span lang="EN-US">2009</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年将突破</span><span lang="EN-US">0.5</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">亿的销量，到</span><span lang="EN-US">2010</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年达到</span><span lang="EN-US">0.83</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">亿部，</span><span lang="EN-US">2007-2010</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年均复合增长率预计为</span><span lang="EN-US">148.6%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">。（如图</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">所示）</span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">图见<a href="http://www.sinotes.com/chinese/Sc%20news/2007_12_3_mobile_market.htm">http://www.sinotes.com/chinese/Sc%20news/2007_12_3_mobile_market.htm</a></span></font></p></span></font></font></p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">由于</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">牌照问题的复杂性——发放时间、牌照数量、技术标准还不明确，</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">产业发展还存在着诸多不确定因素。中国政府对于</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">的决策一直以来非常谨慎，</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">牌照迟迟未发，很关键的一个原因是为了扶持中国自主知识产权的</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">标准</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">TD-SCDMA</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">，等待其技术的成熟。</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">TD-SCDMA</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">最终成为国际三大标准之一，这为中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机市场的发展奠定了坚实的基础。</span></font></p><p class="3" style="MARGIN: 10pt 0cm 6pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt;"><b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 汉鼎简中黑; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial;">市场发展分为四个阶段</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></font></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">虽然由于中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">起步较晚，在</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机上我们没能在核心技术上有所建树，但也正因此，我们可以拥有更多其它国家和地区的</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机发展和普及经验来借鉴。根据欧美、日韩</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机市场的发展经验，以及中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="2" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">2G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机、智能手机的发展历程，我们可以把中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">3G</font></span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机的发展划分为四个阶段。</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">(</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">如表</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">1</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">所示</span><span lang="EN-US"><font face="Times New Roman">)</font></span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span lang="EN-US">表一见<a href="http://www.sinotes.com/chinese/Sc%20news/2007_12_3_mobile_market.htm">http://www.sinotes.com/chinese/Sc%20news/2007_12_3_mobile_market.htm</a></span></font></p><font size="3"><span lang="EN-US"><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">目前，全球</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机市场的发展已进入快速成长期，中国还处于从市场导入期向成长期过渡的阶段。虽然略晚于全球进程，但是一旦中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">网络的格局浮出水面，包括许可证发放的时间和数量、采用的技术，特别是</span><span lang="EN-US">TD</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">的市场地位、运营商的选择等进一步明晰后，中国将成为未来亚太地区，乃至世界最大的</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机市场之一。</span></font></p><p class="3" style="MARGIN: 10pt 0cm 6pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt;"><font size="3"><font face="Arial"><strong><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 汉鼎简中黑; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial;">市场销量明显增长</span><span lang="EN-US"><p></p></span></strong></font></font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">驰昂咨询（</span><span lang="EN-US">Sinotes</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">）的数据显示，</span><span lang="EN-US">2007</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年中国</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机销量将达到</span><span lang="EN-US">600</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">万部左右，比</span><span lang="EN-US">2006</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年增长</span><span lang="EN-US">194%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">，在平稳结束两年的导入期后，预计未来</span><span lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年，</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机销量将进一步增长。尤其是</span><span lang="EN-US">2008</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年进入成长期后，加之奥林匹克运动会在北京的召开加快了</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">进程，各方面的支持将进一步有利于</span><chmetcnv wst="on" unitname="g" sourcevalue="3" hasspace="False" negative="False" numbertype="1" tcsc="0"><span lang="EN-US">3G</span></chmetcnv><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">手机的普及，预计</span><span lang="EN-US">2008</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年增长率能够突破</span><span lang="EN-US">200%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">，到</span><span lang="EN-US">2009</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年将突破</span><span lang="EN-US">0.5</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">亿的销量，到</span><span lang="EN-US">2010</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年达到</span><span lang="EN-US">0.83</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">亿部，</span><span lang="EN-US">2007-2010</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">年均复合增长率预计为</span><span lang="EN-US">148.6%</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">。（如图</span><span lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">所示）</span></font></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; LAYOUT-GRID-MODE: char; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-layout-grid-align: none; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0;"><font size="3"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-hansi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">图见<a href="http://www.sinotes.com/chinese/Sc%20news/2007_12_3_mobile_market.htm">http://www.sinotes.com/chinese/Sc%20news/2007_12_3_mobile_market.htm</a></span></font></p></span></font>

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3G手机市场：2007年平稳度过导入期

3G手机市场：2007年平稳度过导入期

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